#TrumpTariffs Here’s the latest on Trump’s tariffs and their global ripple effects:
⚖️ 1. Tariffs remain in effect during court appeal
A federal appeals court has allowed Trump's broad “Liberation‑Day” tariffs—including tariffs under Section 232 and the new global levies—to remain in force while legality is reviewed. A full court hearing is scheduled for July 31, 2025 .
🚢 2. Steel & aluminum tariffs doubled
Effective June 4, steel and aluminum tariffs under Section 232 rose from 25% to 50%, exempting steel from the UK pending the Economic Prosperity Deal .
🌍 3. Trade tensions and global slowdown
The World Bank downgraded global growth to 2.3% in 2025 (from 2.8%), citing heightened trade disputes driven by Trump's tariffs. U.S. growth is projected at just 1.4% .
📉 4. Economic costs outweigh gains
The Penn‑Wharton Budget Model estimates a ~6% long‑run GDP loss and 5% drop in wages due to tariffs, with a typical middle‑income household losing around $22,000 over its lifetime .The Congressional Budget Office projects permanent deficits would shrink by $2.8T over 10 years—but higher inflation, slower growth, and reduced household purchasing power would follow .A Peterson Institute report expects $3.2T net revenue (after retaliation and economic drag) over a decade; but significant damage to agriculture, mining, and manufacturing sectors .
🏭 5. Impacted industries & domestic effects
U.S. manufacturers face rising input costs and uncertainty, curbing hiring and production; some firms reshore, but sectors reliant on imported intermediate goods are hit hardest .Southeast Asia’s solar industry, particularly in Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, and Malaysia, is being severely disrupted as tariffs reduce U.S. solar equipment import demand .Importers are dodging Chinese tariffs by rerouting through neighboring Asian countries—resulting in surging imports from Southeast Asia instead .
📈 6. Market & investment volatility
Markets have swung on tariff announcements; the S&P 500 briefly dropped over 10% after the April 2 tariffs .Investors are scrutinizing U.S.–China trade talks and awaiting court rulings; some gain has shown in stock indexes, but overall sentiment remains fragile .Rising uncertainty, combined with supply‑chain disruption and inflation pressures, is prompting businesses to delay investment or freeze hiring .
🔍 Bottom line
Trump’s tariff regime—characterized by sweeping global duties and an aggressive 50% steel/aluminum hike—is legally intact for now and is actively reshaping trade flows. While it brings short-term budget revenue and encourages some reshoring, the costs include higher inflation, slower U.S. (and global) growth, eroded wages, and disruption across industries and regions including Southeast Asia and Europe.